Market Size for Sober living in 2026 [Example]

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1. Total Addressable Market (TAM)

High-level market for your niche.
Your audience is a part of this community.

Money

Annual spendings

$40 billion

People

Annual customer base

7 million

Calculations

Step-by-step logic

The total available market (TAM) for sober living encompasses individuals seeking recovery from addiction worldwide. It's estimated that around 30 million people are in recovery from substance use disorders, with a significant proportion relying on sober living facilities. Assuming 20% of these individuals may opt for sober living arrangements, we arrive at a TAM of approximately 7 million people. Each person might spend about $6,000 annually on sober living programs and related expenses, totaling a TAM of around $40 billion per year.

2. Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM)

The portion of your TAM that you can realistically reach.
These people are your potential customers.

Money

Annual spendings

$4 billion

People

Annual customer base

600,000

Calculations

Step-by-step logic

The serviceable addressable market (SAM) is the portion of the TAM that can realistically be captured by a sober living facility. Given factors such as geographical limitations, marketing reach, and capacity, we can target about 10% of the TAM for sober living services. This leads to around 600,000 potential customers. If we consider that these individuals might spend approximately $6,500 per year on sober living services, the SAM translates to around $4 billion annually.

3. Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM)

The portion of SAM that you can realistically capture.
These people are your customers.

Money

Annual spendings

$60 million

People

Annual customer base

10,000

Calculations

Step-by-step logic

The serviceable obtainable market (SOM) represents the portion of the SAM that a single sober living facility can capture in its first year. For a sober living provider aiming for a realistic market share, capturing about 1-2% of the SAM seems feasible, given strategic outreach and marketing efforts. Thus, this means reaching around 10,000 customers. With each of these individuals spending around $6,000 in the first year, the SOM amounts to approximately $60 million.

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